New Poll Shows Trump, Harris In Tight Battle For Swing States

ABC News Hosts Presidential Debate Between Donald Trump And VP Kamala Harris At The National Constitution Center In Philadelphia

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Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump remain in a tight battle for swing states, according to the latest Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday (October 16).

Harris currently leads by a 49% to 47% margin in North Carolina, while Trump has a 52% to 45% edge in Georgia.

“Between them, there’s a mother lode of electoral votes ready to be mined. One state favors Trump. The other is up for grabs,” said Tim Malloy, Quinnipiac University Polling analyst, said in a statement shared with the poll.

Harris and Trump were previously reported to be locked in a "dead heat," according to the latest NBC News poll released on Sunday (October 13). Harris and Trump are tied at 48%, with 4% of respondents claiming they don't want to vote for either, would prefer another candidate or are not sure at the time the NBC News poll was conducted between October 4 and October 8.

The vice president previously held a 49% to 44% edge over Trump in the September 2024 NBC News poll, while Trump led President Joe Biden 45% to 43% in the July 2024 poll conducted prior to Biden's decision to end his re-election campaign. Last week, a Washington Post poll showed that Trump was extending his lead in Ohio, which he won in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, by six points.

Harris was, however, reported to be leading Trump, 46% to 43%, nationally in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Wednesday (October 8), having previously led by a 2% margin, which does have a margin of error of about 3% points, meaning the two candidates remain in a tight race. On October 7, Trump was reported to have gained ground on Harris in the first Yahoo News/YouGov survey released after the vice presidential debate between Republican JD Vance and Democrat Tim Walz. Trump, who previously trailed by four points, is now tied with Harris at 47% among likely voters.


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